So I decided to do some digging to see what sort of patterns or patterns of problems there were in the Oilers systems since the 2005/06 lockout year. I apologize for the horribly formatted table, but the width of the blog doesn’t allow for too wide of a table without some wrapping of text.
I took a look at several “systems” type stats. So here is a bit of a note on those:
Standings Rank / Points show of course where we finished in relation to the rest of the league.
5-5 F/A - the first number is how we ranked at the ratio of 5 on 5 goals for to 5 on 5 goals against. The second value (5-5 F/A) is the actual ratio. A ratio of less than one indicates that teams outscored us at 5 on 5. There was only one year where we basically broke even. The rest of the years were in “the negatives”, so to speak.
PP% – this is our powerplay rank and percentage of successful powerplays (successful = we scored a goal on the powerplay).
PK% – this is our penalty killing rank and percentage of successful penalty kills (successful = no goals scored against on the PK).
PP Time – PK Time – this is the amount of time we spend on the powerplay minus the amount of time we spend on the penalty kill. This is probably the best indicator to tell whether a team is spending too much time in the box, instead of something like number of penalties.
Notes - is just my own take and describes some of the problems I’ve seen from the analysis.
|Year||Standings Rank||Pts||5-5 F/A Rank||5-5 F/A||PP Rank||PP%||PK Rank||PK %||PP Time – PK Time Rank||PP Time – PK Time||Notes|
|2005-2006||14||95||23||0.9||14||18.1||8||84.1||15||-9:09||Bad 5 on 5… average on the powerplay… good on the penalty kill. Close to average PP – PK time.|
|2006-2007||25||71||26||0.77||27||14.2||6||84.6||19||-16:27||Bad 5 on 5… bad on the powerplay.. Good penalty kill… the team spent more time on the PK than PP.|
|2007-2008||19||88||27||0.86||20||16.6||5||84.7||25||-41:26||Bad 5 on 5. bottom end powerplay.. PK quite good, which is good since they spent more time in the box than on PP.|
|2008-2009||21||85||14||1.01||21||17||27||77.5||7||30:51||Awful PK. On the good side of PP time – PK time, so they had their chances. 21st ranked PP didn’t do them any favors. Average at 5 on 5.|
|2009-2010||30||62||30||0.75||18||17.3||26||78||13||1:47||Worst in the league at 5 on 5.|
|2010-2011||30||62||29||0.74||27||14.5||29||77||22||-23:26||Big struggles with 5 on 5. Too much time on the PK, which is also nearly the worst in league. Very poor powerplay.|
|2011-2012||29||74||22||0.91||3||20.6||14||82.4||28||-75:37||PP % is fantastic, but too much time on PK not enough PP. Some difficulty with 5 on 5|
|2012-2013||20||4||28||0.44||9||27.3||9||83.3||23||-5.53||Off to a horrible start with 5-on-5 again… also spending too much time on PK. Both the powerplay and penalty kill seem quite efficient, however.|
So what can be taken out of that? Well, some of the more common problems seem to be 5 on 5 play. The Oilers have only been good at this in one year. I wouldn’t mind doing some deeoer analysis later to figure out who our top 5 on 5 players are and who our worst are. That can be kind of difficult to find a reasonable measurement for, as it really should take into account things like ice time, competition, and your linemates. For now, I’ll take a quick/rough look at this. I don’t want to get too involved in this because it requires more analysis and time than I want to put into it right now. Zone starts are also a huge factor. For now, I checked last year’s numbers and ranked things based on even strength points per 60 minutes of even strength play. Here are the results… Continue reading 'Oilers ES / PP / PK…'»