Oilers 2, Sharks 3 (OT) – Game 7 – 2013-01-31 @ 8:30 PM MST – SNET-EDM

By , January 31, 2013 11:11 am
-={ Puttin’ On The Foil Presents… }=-
logo at logo
4-2-0 Record 6-0-0
Location: HP Pavilion at San Jose
Date: January 31, 2013 @ 8:30PM MST
TV: SNET-EDM

PRE-GAME RANT

The Oilers play the second game in a back-to-back set of games tonight and they face the undefeated Sharks for it. The Sharks have been steamrolling teams in part due to elevated performances by Marleau and Thornton. They are killing it with 14 points each in 6 games… and Antii Niemi has been solid in net for them posting 5 of the 6 wins so far and a sub 2.00 GAA.

The Oilers mailed it in last night, so I don’t have much faith in them tonight. The pessimist says momentum going in says they should get killed. The optimist says that teams that have bad games often have big bounce back games. We’ll see which route the Oilers go, but these Sharks have been dominant, so I’m not holding my breath for a good game tonight. The Oil can’t autopilot their way through this one, like in Phoenix.

No word on the lineup just yet that I’ve found, so for now I assume things are the same, although there is a good chance we see Khabibulin tonight for no other reason than to shelter Doobie from potential embarrassment.

EDIT: OK Lander has been called up to replace Horcoff (hurt neck after being hit from behind by Doan)… Paajarvi has been sent down (since we have to send someone down to recall Lander). Fistric might slot in as well if Petrell is out (i.e. we go with 11F 7D).

Continue reading 'Oilers 2, Sharks 3 (OT) – Game 7 – 2013-01-31 @ 8:30 PM MST – SNET-EDM'»

Oilers 2, Coyotes 1 (OT) – Game 6 – 2013-01-30 @ 7:30 PM MST – SNETW

By , January 30, 2013 3:49 pm
-={ Puttin’ On The Foil Presents… }=-
DDJL
logo at logo
3-2-0 Record 2-4-0
Location: Jobing Arena
Date: January 30, 2013 @ 7:30PM MST
TV: SNETW

PRE-GAME RANT

I expect the Oilers to turn a new page in Phoenix tonight. They struggled last year going 0-3-1 against the desert dogs, but I’ve got feeling (oooh-hooo) tonight’s going to be a good night.

The Coyotes are still without their starter Mike Smith who was injured during their game against the Blue Jackets, so Jason LaBarbera and Chad Johnson are sharing duties between the pipes. Raffi Torres is out on suspension so he won’t be super-manning any of our young stars.

It’s still early, but our talented youth have our powerplay ranking 2nd in the league and the team speed is bound to draw a penatly or two tonight. Certainly won’t complain if the crew can start producing more 5 on 5, but that will come.

Pair the potent power play with Devan Dubnyk standing on his head and success isn’t too far fetched. Taylor Hall has registered a point every game thus far, and I apologize for jinxing him.

Oh and uh, welcome back Khabibulun…

Continue reading 'Oilers 2, Coyotes 1 (OT) – Game 6 – 2013-01-30 @ 7:30 PM MST – SNETW'»

Oilers 4, Avalanche 1 – Game 5 – 2013-01-28 @ 7:30 PM MST – SNETW

By , January 28, 2013 12:19 pm
-={ Puttin’ On The Foil Presents… }=-
GDT - Edmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche
logo at logo
2-2-0 Record 0-2-1
Location: Rexall Place
Date: January 28, 2013 @ 7:30PM MST
TV: SNETW

PRE-GAME RANT

The twitter folks say that Corey Potter is in for Mark Fistric. I take that as a sign that our GM has panicked and signaled the dive for the latest #1 draft sensation. I have nothing against Potter, but Mark Fistric is a good guy we need in all the time. Potter was the topic du jour last year, so I don’t like people dumping on him either. I’d like to see what Fistric and Potter can do together though.

The GDT pic is a stock photo I use on here for every single Avalanche game, it seems. Getting tired of hunting for new pics though. At least this one doesn’t have Stortini in it!

I have the privilege of going to this one live. Hopefully it’s better than the first 59:55 of the last game I went to (Thursday’s win over Los Angeles). But that game was pure awesome, in the end.

There’s been a bit of talk here and elsewhere about the Oilers even strength woes. Wouldn’t mind seeing some forward changes. Our team is all really stacked on one line, with potential on the 2nd line, and our third line should be nicknamed the Lethal Weapons….. “I’m too old for this shit!”.
Continue reading 'Oilers 4, Avalanche 1 – Game 5 – 2013-01-28 @ 7:30 PM MST – SNETW'»

Oilers ES / PP / PK…

By , January 27, 2013 3:19 pm
Conclusion.. Jordan Eberle is the best player in the history of the NHL.. ever.. more or less... roughly.. give or take a few names.

Conclusion.. Jordan Eberle is the best player in the history of the NHL.. ever.. more or less… roughly.. give or take a few names.

So I decided to do some digging to see what sort of patterns or patterns of problems there were in the Oilers systems since the 2005/06 lockout year. I apologize for the horribly formatted table, but the width of the blog doesn’t allow for too wide of a table without some wrapping of text.

I took a look at several “systems” type stats. So here is a bit of a note on those:

Standings Rank / Points show of course where we finished in relation to the rest of the league.
5-5 F/A - the first number is how we ranked at the ratio of 5 on 5 goals for to 5 on 5 goals against. The second value (5-5 F/A) is the actual ratio. A ratio of less than one indicates that teams outscored us at 5 on 5. There was only one year where we basically broke even. The rest of the years were in “the negatives”, so to speak.
PP% – this is our powerplay rank and percentage of successful powerplays (successful = we scored a goal on the powerplay).
PK% – this is our penalty killing rank and percentage of successful penalty kills (successful = no goals scored against on the PK).
PP Time – PK Time – this is the amount of time we spend on the powerplay minus the amount of time we spend on the penalty kill. This is probably the best indicator to tell whether a team is spending too much time in the box, instead of something like number of penalties.
Notes - is just my own take and describes some of the problems I’ve seen from the analysis.

Year Standings Rank Pts 5-5 F/A Rank 5-5 F/A PP Rank PP% PK Rank PK % PP Time – PK Time Rank PP Time – PK Time Notes
2005-2006 14 95 23 0.9 14 18.1 8 84.1 15 -9:09 Bad 5 on 5… average on the powerplay… good on the penalty kill. Close to average PP – PK time.
2006-2007 25 71 26 0.77 27 14.2 6 84.6 19 -16:27 Bad 5 on 5… bad on the powerplay.. Good penalty kill… the team spent more time on the PK than PP.
2007-2008 19 88 27 0.86 20 16.6 5 84.7 25 -41:26 Bad 5 on 5. bottom end powerplay.. PK quite good, which is good since they spent more time in the box than on PP.
2008-2009 21 85 14 1.01 21 17 27 77.5 7 30:51 Awful PK. On the good side of PP time – PK time, so they had their chances. 21st ranked PP didn’t do them any favors. Average at 5 on 5.
2009-2010 30 62 30 0.75 18 17.3 26 78 13 1:47 Worst in the league at 5 on 5.
2010-2011 30 62 29 0.74 27 14.5 29 77 22 -23:26 Big struggles with 5 on 5. Too much time on the PK, which is also nearly the worst in league. Very poor powerplay.
2011-2012 29 74 22 0.91 3 20.6 14 82.4 28 -75:37 PP % is fantastic, but too much time on PK not enough PP.  Some difficulty with 5 on 5
2012-2013 20  4 28  0.44 9  27.3 9  83.3 23  -5.53 Off to a horrible start with 5-on-5 again… also spending too much time on PK. Both the powerplay and penalty kill seem quite efficient, however.

So what can be taken out of that? Well, some of the more common problems seem to be 5 on 5 play. The Oilers have only been good at this in one year. I wouldn’t mind doing some deeoer analysis later to figure out who our top 5 on 5 players are and who our worst are. That can be kind of difficult to find a reasonable measurement for, as it really should take into account things like ice time, competition, and your linemates. For now, I’ll take a quick/rough look at this. I don’t want to get too involved in this because it requires more analysis and time than I want to put into it right now. Zone starts are also a huge factor. For now, I checked last year’s numbers and ranked things based on even strength points per 60 minutes of even strength play. Here are the results… Continue reading 'Oilers ES / PP / PK…'»

Oilers 3, Flames 4 – Game 4 – 2013-01-26 @ 8:00 PM MST – CBC

By , January 26, 2013 11:19 am
-={ Puttin’ On The Foil Presents… }=-
Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames
logo at logo
2-1-0 Record 0-2-1
Location: Scotiabank Saddledome
Date: January 26, 2013 @ 8:00PM MST
TV: CBC

PRE-GAME RANT

Tonight is the first game of the Battle of Alberta for 2013. Not sure how much battle we’ll see tonight, as much of the last bunch of BoAs have had more fizzle than anything. Credit to Darren Haynes for this stunning tweet: “Taylor Hall is 21 yrs old. Since he’s been alive, #Flames and #Oilers have made #NHL playoffs in same season just once – 2005-06.” Yikes. No wonder the BoA has been so flaccid.

Oh well, here’s a look back in the time machine to one of the best moments in recent BoA history:

Tonight I will likely be at the Oil Kings game and watching this on PVR later. The chat will be going for you all though if you want.
Continue reading 'Oilers 3, Flames 4 – Game 4 – 2013-01-26 @ 8:00 PM MST – CBC'»

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